南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年7月－2026年6月）

xiaoqianWX

1、为了方便管理和页面整洁，台风论坛继续坚持一扰动一追击帖的老规矩，在南半球无扰动下请在本帖跟帖讨论。违者：合并或删除。
2、当NRL升格扰动后，会员可重新开新的追击。
3、因EC网站更新，本帖无法提供即时更新的EC预报产品，请前往各数值产品服务网站查询。
4、南半球各海域监管机构
【MFR】http://www.meteofrance.re/cyclone/activite-cyclonique-en-cours
法国气象局MFR主管90E以西的南印度洋。
【BoM】http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
澳大利亚气象局BoM主管澳洲附近海域。
【FMS】https://www.met.gov.fj/
斐济气象局FMS主管西南太平洋大部。
【MetService】https://www.metservice.com/national
新西兰气象局MetService主管部分南太平洋海域。

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各范围红外光卫星云图：
印度洋


太平洋

涡度图

红豆棒冰冰

AWIO20 FMEE 011037
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / RSMC LA REUNION / METEO-FRANCE
BULLETIN FOR CYCLONIC ACTIVITY AND SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER
IN THE SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN
DATE: 01/07/2025 AT 1200 UTC
PART 1: WARNING SUMMARY
Nil.
PART 2 : TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
The basin is in a winter pattern. Deep convection is low over the bassin.
Development of a tropical storm is not expected over the next 5 days.

pocketbox

Tropical Low 02U
Tropical low (02U) to develop early next week in the Timor Sea.

• A tropical low may form to the south of the Indonesia during the weekend and move into the Timor Sea on Monday next week.
• It is likely to become slow moving in the Timor Sea for most of next week, where environmental conditions are supportive for significant development.
• The risk of 02U to develop into a tropical cyclone increases to Low on Monday, with increasing chance of development mid to late next week.
  

Last updated
an hour ago, 11:42 pm UTC

Tropical lows

Today 12:00 pm

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Wed 19  Nov 12:00 am

Tropical Low 02U

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1 (Very Low)

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5 (Low)

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15 (Low)