爪哇岛东南热带低压28U(25S) - 逐渐东行，强风切阻发展

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90S INVEST 260227 1200 11.7S 99.7E SHEM 15 0
90S INVEST 260227 1200 11.7S 99.7E SHEM 20 1004

pocketbox

Tropical Low 28U
A tropical low, 28U, to form to the west of Christmas Island.

• A tropical low, 28U, to form in the trough to the west of Christmas Island, in the next day or so.
• During Monday to Thursday, the low is likely to move over waters near to, or south of, Christmas Island.
• 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday, increasing to Moderate from Wednesday.
• Residents of the Christmas Island should stay up to date with the latest forecasts.
  

Last updated
2 hours ago, 08:14 am UTC

Tropical lows

Today 12:00 pm

Tomorrow 12:00 am

Tomorrow 12:00 pm

Mon 2  Mar 12:00 am

Mon 2  Mar 12:00 pm

Tue 3  Mar 12:00 am

Tue 3  Mar 12:00 pm

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm

Tropical Low 28U

null (None)

1 (Very Low)

1 (Very Low)

5 (Low)

10 (Low)

10 (Low)

15 (Low)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

15 (Low)

10 (Low)

10 (Low)

5 (Low)

1 (Very Low)

pocketbox

Tropical Low 28U
Moderate risk of 28U developing into a tropical cyclone from Wednesday.

• A tropical low, 28U, has formed west of Christmas Island.
• The low is expected to slowly track east, south of Christmas Island, before it's motion is affected by 30U later in the week and it takes a more southeasterly track.
• 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday, increasing to Moderate from Wednesday.
• Residents of the Christmas Island should stay up to date with the latest forecasts.
  

Last updated
an hour ago, 08:20 am UTC

Tropical lows

Today 12:00 pm

Tomorrow 12:00 am

Tomorrow 12:00 pm

Tue 3  Mar 12:00 am

Tue 3  Mar 12:00 pm

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm

Sun 8  Mar 12:00 am

Sun 8  Mar 12:00 pm

Tropical Low 28U

1 (Very Low)

5 (Low)

5 (Low)

10 (Low)

15 (Low)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

15 (Low)

15 (Low)

10 (Low)

1 (Very Low)

null (None)

pocketbox

Tropical Low 28U
Moderate risk of 28U developing into a tropical cyclone from Wednesday.

• Tropical low 28U lies to the southwest of Christmas Island is expected to track eastwards throughout the first part of the week, passing to the south of Christmas Island overnight tonight.
• 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from later Tuesday, increasing to Moderate later Wednesday and on Thursday.
• Later in the week, 28U will be affected by the development and motion of tropical low 30U, and is expected to start weakening as it moves to the southeast from Thursday onwards.
• It is expected to dissipate by the weekend and not impact the WA coast.
  

Last updated
an hour ago, 08:51 am UTC

Tropical lows

Today 12:00 pm

Tomorrow 12:00 am

Tomorrow 12:00 pm

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am

Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am

Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am

Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am

Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm

Sun 8  Mar 12:00 am

Sun 8  Mar 12:00 pm

Mon 9  Mar 12:00 am

Mon 9  Mar 12:00 pm

Tropical Low 28U

1 (Very Low)

1 (Very Low)

5 (Low)

15 (Low)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

25 (Moderate)

15 (Low)

5 (Low)

null (None)

null (None)

null (None)

null (None)

null (None)

null (None)

Ragasa

ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.5S 122.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 122.4E, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
REVEALS A BROAD DISORGANIZED REGION OF TROFING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BROOME
SUGGEST THE TROF AXIS, OR POTENTIAL DEVELOPING ROTATION, PASSED NORTH
OF THE STATION AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z AND HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER.
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20
TO 30KTS), VERY WARM NEARBY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30 TO 31 C), AND
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS
PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.0S
105.5E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND.
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION COVERED BY FLARING CONVECTION. A 021041Z WSF-M 37GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED A COMPACT INNER-CORE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP,
WITH WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL BANDING FEATURES STARTING TO WRAP INTO THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITION FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C) AND MODERATE SOUTH WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW, CONTRASTED BY VERY HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 40KTS).
HOWEVER, THE CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS MAY BE TOO HIGH, BASED ON THE OVERALL
STRUCTURAL APPEARANCE IN THE EIR IMAGERY. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW
INTENSIFICATION OF 90S IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS, ENSEMBLE MODELS ALSO SHOW
THE STEADY DEVELOPMENT AND EAST TRACK OF 90S OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

Ragasa

IDW24010
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:53 am WST on Tuesday 3 March 2026

A Tropical Low was located at 8:00 am AWST near 11.6S 106.9E,

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 11.6 degrees South 106.9 degrees East,
estimated to be 185 kilometres southeast of Christmas Island.
Movement: southeast at 7 kilometres per hour.

Tropical low 28U lies to the southeast of Christmas Island and is tracking away
to the east . It is expected to intensify and reach tropical cyclone strength
during Wednesday and Thursday as it moves quickly to the east over open waters
of the Indian Ocean. The system is expected to weaken late Thursday and Friday
as it moves into an unfavourable environment

It is not expected to impact Indian Ocean territories or the Western Australia
mainland.

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 pm AWST Tuesday 03 March.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

	Time (AWST)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	8 am March 3	tropical low	11.6S	106.9E	55
+6hr	2 pm March 3	tropical low	11.6S	107.9E	80
+12hr	8 pm March 3	tropical low	11.5S	108.7E	95
+18hr	2 am March 4	tropical low	11.4S	109.3E	110
+24hr	8 am March 4	tropical low	11.4S	109.9E	115
+36hr	8 pm March 4	1	11.2S	111.5E	120
+48hr	8 am March 5	1	11.1S	114.2E	125
+60hr	8 pm March 5	tropical low	12.0S	117.8E	215
+72hr	8 am March 6	tropical low	13.5S	119.7E	160

Ragasa

ABIO10 PGTW 030230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
REISSUED/030230Z-031800ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
17.6S 122.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1S 122.6E, APPROXIMATELY 54 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BROOME. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
REVEALS A BROAD DISORGANIZED REGION OF TROFING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BROOME
SUGGEST THE TROF AXIS, OR POTENTIAL DEVELOPING ROTATION, PASSED NORTH
OF THE STATION AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z AND HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER.
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (20 TO 30KTS), VERY WARM NEARBY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(30 TO 31 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE MODELS PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11.0S 105.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 107.0E, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
(MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER, AND A LARGE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED TOO THE
WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C) AND GOOD SOUTHWESTERLY
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, CONTRASTED BY THE HIGH EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OF 30 TO 40KTS. HOWEVER, THE CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS MAY BE
TOO HIGH, BASED ON THE OVERALL STRUCTURAL APPEARANCE IN THE MSI.
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS DEPICT 90S TAKING A GENERAL
EAST TRACK AND THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF 90S IN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO
MEDIUM.//
NNNN

ygsj24

WTXS21 PGTW 030630
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90S)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8S 106.8E TO 11.8S 112.8E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 030600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 11.8S 107.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.0S 105.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 107.5E, APPROXIMATELY 135
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY. A 030227Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SWATH OF 25-30 KT WINDS ALONG
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 90S TRACKING EASTWARD AS IT
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
040630Z.//
NNNN

---

ABIO10 PGTW 030630
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
REISSUED/030630Z-031800ZMAR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
17.6S 122.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1S 122.6E, APPROXIMATELY 54 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BROOME. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
REVEALS A BROAD DISORGANIZED REGION OF TROFING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BROOME
SUGGEST THE TROF AXIS, OR POTENTIAL DEVELOPING ROTATION, PASSED NORTH
OF THE STATION AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z AND HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER.
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (20 TO 30KTS), VERY WARM NEARBY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(30 TO 31 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE MODELS PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.0S 105.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 107.5E, APPROXIMATELY 135
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY. A 030227Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SWATH OF 25-30 KT WINDS ALONG
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 90S TRACKING EASTWARD AS IT
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 030630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2) TO
HIGH.//
NNNN

Ragasa

IDW24010
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 2:26 pm WST on Tuesday 3 March 2026

A Tropical Low was located at 2:00 pm AWST near 11.8S 107.7E,

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 11.8 degrees South 107.7 degrees East,
estimated to be 265 kilometres southeast of Christmas Island.
Movement: east southeast at 15 kilometres per hour.

Tropical low 28U lies to the southeast of Christmas Island and is tracking away
to the east. It is expected to intensify and reach tropical cyclone strength
during Wednesday and Thursday as it moves to the east over open waters of the
Indian Ocean. The system is expected to weaken late Thursday and Friday as it
moves into an unfavourable environment and interacts with tropical low 30U.

It is not expected to impact Indian Ocean territories or the Western Australia
mainland.

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 9:00 pm AWST Tuesday 03 March.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

	Time (AWST)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	2 pm March 3	tropical low	11.8S	107.7E	30
+6hr	8 pm March 3	tropical low	11.8S	108.3E	50
+12hr	2 am March 4	tropical low	11.7S	109.1E	70
+18hr	8 am March 4	tropical low	11.5S	109.8E	80
+24hr	2 pm March 4	1	11.4S	110.5E	90
+36hr	2 am March 5	1	11.1S	112.8E	105
+48hr	2 pm March 5	tropical low	11.4S	116.9E	145
+60hr	2 am March 6	tropical low	13.2S	120.2E	205
+72hr	2 pm March 6	tropical low	15.0S	121.0E	200

pocketbox

IDW24010
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 8:56 pm WST on Tuesday 3 March 2026

A Tropical Low was located at 8:00 pm AWST near 11.9S 108.3E,

Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 11.9 degrees South 108.3 degrees East,
estimated to be 330 kilometres east southeast of Christmas Island.
Movement: east at 11 kilometres per hour.

Tropical low 28U lies to the east southeast of Christmas Island and is tracking
away to the east. It is expected to develop and reach tropical cyclone strength
later Wednesday or on Thursday as it moves to the east over open waters of the
Indian Ocean. The system is then expected to weaken rapidly from late Thursday
and Friday as it moves into an unfavourable environment and interacts with
tropical low 30U.

It is not expected to impact Christmas Island or the Western Australia mainland.

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3:00 am AWST Wednesday 04 March.

	Time (AWST)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	8 pm March 3	tropical low	11.9S	108.3E	30
+6hr	2 am March 4	tropical low	11.8S	108.7E	50
+12hr	8 am March 4	tropical low	11.7S	109.2E	70
+18hr	2 pm March 4	tropical low	11.6S	109.7E	85
+24hr	8 pm March 4	1	11.4S	110.5E	90
+36hr	8 am March 5	1	11.0S	113.7E	110
+48hr	8 pm March 5	tropical low	12.1S	118.2E	160
+60hr	8 am March 6	tropical low	14.1S	120.6E	225
+72hr	8 pm March 6	tropical low	15.5S	120.8E	275