MEDIUM - 印度以西AS 01(93A) - 16.8N 73.3E

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 09Z分析降至T1.5/2.0

TPIO10 PGTW 230853
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93A (W OF INDIA)
B. 23/0830Z
C. 16.95N
D. 72.42E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T1.5/2.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF
1.5. MET YIELDS 1.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   SWANSON

fy6

今天上午FY-3E的风场扫描

fy6

JTWC 12Z 认定中心已在陆地上

TPIO10 PGTW 231203
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93A (W OF INDIA)
B. 23/1130Z
C. 16.62N
D. 73.32E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES
UNAVAILABLE DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   MUSE

红豆棒冰冰

SSD 12Z分析亦认定中心在陆地上

TXIO22 KNES 231223
TCSNIO
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (93A)
B.  23/1130Z
C.  16.8N
D.  73.5E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  OVERLAND
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...THE CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE OVERLAND. THIS WILL BE THE
FINAL BULLETIN.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...LINER

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 06Z系集

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2025-5-23 20:38
SSD 12Z分析亦认定中心在陆地上

SSD稍早前修改12Z分析

TXIO22 KNES 231238
TCSNIO
CCA
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (93A)
B.  23/1130Z
C.  16.8N
D.  73.5E
E.  FIVE/MET-9
F.  OVERLAND
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR SATELLITE. THE CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE
OVERLAND. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...LINER

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 15Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上

TPIO10 PGTW 231501
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93A (W OF INDIA)
B. 23/1430Z
C. 17.44N
D. 73.67E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES
UNAVAILABLE DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   MUSE