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危地马拉以南95E - 9.3N 91.0W - NHC:40%

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发表于 2025-6-25 22:39 | 显示全部楼层
SSD 12Z分析TOO WEAK
TXPZ28 KNES 251323
TCSENP
CCA
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B.  25/1200Z
C.  9.0N
D.  92.2W
E.  FIVE/GOES-E
F.  TOO WEAK
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS
H.  REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON REANALYSIS
OF IMAGERY. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A SECOND CIRCULATION SW OF
THE PREVIOUS CENTER POSITION. SPIRAL LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND
CONVECTION WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER RESULT IN A DT OF LESS THAN
1.0. PT IS ALSO LESS THAN 1.0. MET IS 1.0. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN
ISSUED UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...TURK
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2025-6-26 04:30 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:40%/80%

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala remain
disorganized.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is likely to form by late this weekend
while the system moves slowly west-northwestward, off the coast of
southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema/Blake


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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2025-6-26 04:34 | 显示全部楼层
昨天晚间ASCAT风场扫描




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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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