中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles offshore
of the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear to be conducive
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Beven

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles south of southern Mexico is associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Two areas of low pressure are forecast to form from a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are currently located
several hundred miles south of southern Mexico.  One low is expected
to form on the east side of an elongated trough during the next day
or so a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A second low pressure area is forecast to form on the western
side of the elongated trough south of Mexico in a couple of days.  
Some slow development of this system is possible over the weekend.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Jelsema

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure is located several hundred
miles south of southern Mexico.  A low pressure system is
expected to form on the east side of this trough during the next
day or two. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A second low pressure area is forecast to form on the western
side of the elongated trough south of Mexico in a couple of days.  
Some subsequent development of this system is possible and a
tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Beven/Jelsema

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure is located several hundred
miles south of southern Mexico.  A low pressure system is
expected to form on the east side of this trough during the next
day or two. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the western side of the
elongated trough south of Mexico have become a little better
organized during the last 24 hours. A low pressure area is forecast
to form in this area during the next day or two. Subsequent
additional development of this system is possible and a tropical
depression could form over the weekend or early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Beven

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have increased a little on the eastern
side of a broad trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred
miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for additional development, and a short-lived tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
generally west-northwestward just off the coast of Mexico.  
Interests in southern and southwestern Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure has formed along the western side of
the elongated trough south of Mexico.  Continued gradual development
of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Hogsett

红豆棒冰冰

pocketbox 发表于 2025-6-6 19:45
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

西侧系统已编号91E

pocketbox

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually increasing in association
with a trough of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and a short-lived tropical depression is likely to form
over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward
just off the coast of Mexico.  Interests in southern and
southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

红豆棒冰冰

pocketbox 发表于 2025-6-7 01:15
1. South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually increasing in association
with ...

东侧系统已编号92E