所罗门海五级强热带气旋“迈拉”(37U/30P.Maila) - 巴新十八年来首个命名热带气旋，在所罗门海回旋 - BoM:115KT JTWC:125KT

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全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：徐润杰、刘涛  签发：黄奕武  2026 年 04 月 11 日 10 时
“迈拉”向西南方向移动

时  间: 11日08时(北京时，下同)

海  域: 澳大利亚附近海域

命  名: “迈拉”，MAILA

中心位置: 南纬8.0度，东经154.5度

强度等级: 一级热带气旋

最大风力: 8级，18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级

中心气压: 995百帕

参考位置: 距离澳大利亚昆士兰州凯恩斯东北方向约1370公里

变化过程: 过去24小时，“迈拉”由13级减弱为8级

预报结论: 预计，“迈拉”先徘徊少动，后转西南方向移动，强度维持。



图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2026年4月11日08时00分）

桑美和伊欧凯

理可的呆萌呆毛 发表于 2026-4-11 05:13
什麽挖了個比南澳還冷的冷水坑然後自己往裡面跳

凭借自身力量把所罗门海从大暖池变成了低温中心，能不能活着离开所罗门海都是个大问题了

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WTPS31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WARNING NR 019   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110000Z --- NEAR 7.8S 154.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 7.8S 154.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z --- 8.0S 154.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z --- 8.3S 154.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 7.8S 154.6E.
11APR26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 534
NM SOUTH OF KAPINGAMARANGI, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI)
REVEALS THAT TC 30P HAS NEARLY COMPLETELY UNRAVELED OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS, BECOMING A SHALLOW VORTEX VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION.
A PARTIAL 10223Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE REVEALS 30P IS 35 KTS, WITH
MAXIMUM WINDS CONFINED TO THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. THE ENVIRONMENT
IS ASSESSED AS UNFAVORABLE, CHARACTERIZED BY THE SIGNIFICANT COLD
WATER UPWELLING (SUB 20C) CAUSED BY THE STORM'S QUASISTATIONARY
TRACK IN THE SOLOMON SEA. DETERMINISTIC MODEL TRACK AND INTENSITY
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 30P WILL REMAIN IN THE SOLOMON
SEA WHILE IT CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 110000Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110000Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN

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IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 4:37 pm EST on Saturday 11 April 2026

At 4 pm AEST Saturday, Tropical Cyclone Maila (Category 1) with central
pressure 994 hPa was located near latitude 8.0 south longitude 155.1 east,
which is about 560 km west northwest of Honiara and 890 km east of Port Moresby.

The cyclone is moving east northeast at 7 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Maila is expected to remain slow moving in the Solomon Sea
during the rest of today and is forecast to be downgraded below a tropical
cyclone later tonight. Maila will then continue to weaken in the Solomon Sea,
near southeastern Papua New Guinea during the rest of the weekend, before
taking a west southwest track. There is a Very Low chance that it emerges into
the Coral Sea as a tropical cyclone.

The remnants of Maila may then track through the Coral Sea towards the Far
North Queensland coast. However, it is likely to be a dissipating tropical low
at this time.

No further Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletins will be issued.

---

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0715 UTC 11/04/2026
Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila
Identifier: 37U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 8.0S
Longitude: 155.1E
Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km)
Movement Towards: east northeast (078 deg)
Speed of Movement: 4 knots (7 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots (65 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h)
Central Pressure: 994 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm (95 km)
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km)
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:   nm (  km)
Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km)
Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.5/1.0/W2.0/24HRS STT:W1.0/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 90 nm (165 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
(UTC)        : degrees     :      nm  (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06:  11/1200:  8.3S 154.8E:     030 (060):  035  (065):  994
+12:  11/1800:  8.6S 154.6E:     040 (080):  035  (065):  994
+18:  12/0000:  9.2S 154.5E:     050 (090):  035  (065):  994
+24:  12/0600:  9.8S 153.9E:     060 (110):  030  (055):  997
+36:  12/1800: 10.8S 152.5E:     090 (160):  030  (055):  997
+48:  13/0600: 12.1S 151.1E:     105 (195):  030  (055):  997
+60:  13/1800: 12.8S 149.0E:     110 (205):  030  (055):  998
+72:  14/0600: 13.0S 147.0E:     115 (215):  030  (055):  997
+96:  15/0600:             :              :            :     
+120: 16/0600:             :              :            :     
REMARKS:
Maila continues to weaken, and is likely to be downgraded below a tropical
cyclone tonight.

Position is based on animated Vis satellite imagery, with high confidence.
Satellite presentation has continued to degrade, with minimal convection near
the system. AMSR2 at 0311 UTC and OSCAT at 0118 UTC indicated gales occurring
in northern quadrants.

Intensity is assessed at 35 knots based on the AMSR2 and OSCAT passes. Dvorak
analysis: at DT was unable to be obtained and there is little convection near
the system now. MET is 2.0 based on a W+ trend, with PAT reduced to 1.5. FT of
1.5 based on MET, and CI held above at 2.0. Latest objective guidance at 0610
UTC includes ADT 25 knots, AiDT 31 knots, DPRINT 28 knots, DMINT 27 knots (0327
UTC), and SATCON 39 knots (0410UTC).

The environment is unfavourable for any renewed development, and Maila is
expected to be downgraded below a tropical cyclone tonight, before further
weakening occurs by Sunday.

From early next week, the remnants of Maila may track through the Coral Sea and
eventually towards the Far North Queensland coast. However, it is likely to be
a dissipating tropical low at this time.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.

	Time (AEST)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	4 pm April 11	1	8.0S	155.1E	35
+6hr	10 pm April 11	tropical low	8.3S	154.8E	60
+12hr	4 am April 12	tropical low	8.6S	154.6E	80
+18hr	10 am April 12	tropical low	9.2S	154.5E	90
+24hr	4 pm April 12	tropical low	9.8S	153.9E	110
+36hr	4 am April 13	tropical low	10.8S	152.5E	160
+48hr	4 pm April 13	tropical low	12.1S	151.1E	195
+60hr	4 am April 14	tropical low	12.8S	149.0E	205
+72hr	4 pm April 14	tropical low	13.0S	147.0E	215

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全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：徐润杰、刘涛  签发：黄奕武  2026 年 04 月 11 日 18 时
“迈拉”在所罗门海徘徊

时  间: 11日14时(北京时，下同)

海  域: 澳大利亚附近海域

命  名: “迈拉”，MAILA

中心位置: 南纬8.0度，东经155.1度

强度等级: 一级热带气旋

最大风力: 8级，18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级

中心气压: 994百帕

参考位置: 距离澳大利亚昆士兰州凯恩斯东北方向约1420公里

变化过程: 过去24小时，“迈拉”由11级减弱为8级

预报结论: 预计，“迈拉”将在所罗门海低速徘徊，后向西南方向移动，强度缓慢减弱。



图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2026年4月11日14时00分）

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Headline:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila has weakened below tropical cyclone strength.

Areas affected:
Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zones: None.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila 37U at 10:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 8.3 degrees South, 154.8 degrees East , 580 kilometres west northwest of Honiara and 850 kilometres east of Port Moresby .
Movement: slow moving .

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila has weakened below tropical cyclone strength, but is still producing gales to its northwest. It is expected to weaken further on Sunday, near southeastern Papua New Guinea, before taking a west southwest track into the northern Coral Sea.

The remnants of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila may then track through the Coral Sea towards the far north Queensland coast next week as a weakening tropical low.

Details:

	Time (AEST)	Intensity Category	Latitude (decimal deg.)	Longitude (decimal deg.)	Estimated Position Accuracy (km)
0hr	10 pm April 11	tropical low	8.3S	154.8E	45
+6hr	4 am April 12	tropical low	8.8S	154.6E	75
+12hr	10 am April 12	tropical low	9.6S	154.4E	85
+18hr	4 pm April 12	tropical low	10.3S	153.9E	100
+24hr	10 pm April 12	tropical low	10.8S	153.4E	115
+36hr	10 am April 13	tropical low	11.4S	151.7E	160
+48hr	10 pm April 13	tropical low	12.2S	150.4E	150
+60hr	10 am April 14	tropical low	12.7S	148.6E	95
+72hr	10 pm April 14	tropical low	13.5S	147.0E	150

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye

Next Issue
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Sunday