中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
continue to show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions
are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is expected to form this weekend as the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Locally heavy rains are
possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during
the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system.  For additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have changed little in organization for much of
the day.  However, gradual development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or
early next week while the system moves northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Berg

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized near a
low pressure area located about 150 miles off the coast of
southern Mexico. However, recent satellite data suggest that the
system does not yet have a well-defined circulation. Environmental
conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day
or two as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  
Locally heavy rains are possible along portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next couple of days, and interests there
should monitor the progress of this system. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have increased a little, but remain disorganized.  
Continued gradual development of this system is expected, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early
next week while it moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Cangialosi

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a little more than 150 miles south of the southern coast of
Mexico have continued to become more organized during the past few
hours. Although the system does not yet appear to have a
well-defined circulation, further development is anticipated and a
tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form later today
or tonight. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward near
15 mph today, then continue in that general direction at a slightly
slower forward speed through early next week. Locally heavy rains
are possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico
during the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor
the progress of this system. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is
still expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
this weekend or early next week while it moves slowly northward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster D. Zelinsky

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 150 miles south of the southern coast of Mexico have
continued to become more organized this afternoon. Although it is
unclear whether the system has a well-defined circulation, further
development is anticipated, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm will likely form tonight or on Sunday. The system is forecast
to move west-northwestward at around 15 mph tonight, then continue
in that general direction through early next week. Locally heavy
rains are possible along portions of the southwestern coast of
Mexico during the next couple of days, and interests there should
monitor the progress of this system. For additional information,
including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or
early next week as it moves northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late next week or next weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Hogsett/Berg

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 150 miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico
have become better organized this evening. Recent satellite-derived
wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined,
and the system is already producing gale-force winds. If these
trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a tropical storm
later tonight. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at
around 10 mph during the next few days. Locally heavy rains are
possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico in
association with this system, and interests there should monitor its
progress. For more information on this system, including gale
warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southwestern coast
of Mexico have become better organized this evening. Gradual
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is
likely to form on Sunday or early next week as it moves
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. For more information on this system,
including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

3. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late next week or next weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Reinhart/Jelsema

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Barbara, located a couple hundred miles off the coast
of southwestern Mexico.

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 600 miles southwest of the southwestern coast of
Mexico have become better organized overnight. Further development
of this system is expected, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm is likely to form later today or tonight as it moves
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. For more information on this system,
including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Kelly/Jelsema

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Three-E, and on Tropical Storm Barbara, both
located off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Kelly

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Cosme, and on Tropical Storm Barbara, both
located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of southwestern
Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Barbara, and on Tropical Storm Cosme, both located in the
eastern Pacific basin off the coast of southwestern Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop later this week south
of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara are issued
under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cosme are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Hagen