中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jun 11 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP93):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form late this week or this
weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 11 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP93):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form late this week or this
weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jun 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP93):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or two while
it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Gibbs/Kelly

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical
depression is expected to form in the next day or so while it moves
generally west-northwestward. Interests along the coasts of
southern and southwestern Mexico should closely monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Four-E, located in the eastern Pacific basin off
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Four-E, located in the eastern Pacific basin off
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 13 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Four-E, located in the eastern Pacific basin off
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or
early next week near the coast of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central
America and southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Gibbs/Kelly