小笠原群岛以东2502号热带风暴“圣帕”(02W.Sepat) - 北上趋向日本关东近海

Enceladus

GFS 2400Z Main-run(SEPAT 02W)
▸ Range: +72Hrs
▸ Step: 24Hrs
▸ Maximun Expected Intensity: 35KT
▸ Plotted by: Enceladus

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GFS 00Z继续预报逐渐北上，靠近本州岛

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JTWC 06Z分析维持T2.5/2.5

TPPN10 PGTW 240548
A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (SEPAT)
B. 24/0530Z
C. 30.00N
D. 140.44E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 60NM IN
DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 2.0. ADDED 0.5 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 2.5.
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   23/2353Z  29.27N  140.98E  MMHS
   24/0138Z  29.55N  140.72E  GPMI
   HUYNH

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JMA 06Z分析DT2 MET2 PT2 FT2 CI2

meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        4
featureDirectionOfMotion:        326 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        4.12 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        2
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        1
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        2
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        1
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        0
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        1
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
finalTNumberType:        2

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SSD 06Z分析T2.5/2.5

TXPQ24 KNES 240643
TCSWNP
A.  02W (SEPAT)
B.  24/0530Z
C.  29.7N
D.  140.5E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.5/2.5
G.  IR/EIR/VIS/GMI
H.  REMARKS...4/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. VERY SMALL SYSTEM
LOCATED IN COL AREA OF DEFORMATION ZONE. MET=3.0 AND PT=2.5. FT BASED
ON PT DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    24/0139Z 29.7N 140.5E GMI
...KONON

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JMA最新予想天气图预报+24h已降格TD，+48h已消散

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ECMWF 00Z系集

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JTWC 09Z分析降至T2.0/2.5

TPPN10 PGTW 240855
A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (SEPAT)
B. 24/0830Z
C. 30.48N
D. 140.18E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES LOCATED NEAR THE COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT
YIELD 2.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   24/0339Z  29.70N  140.68E  ATMS
   HUYNH

佐倉綾音

整了个小巧玲珑的货

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GFS 06Z