MEDIUM - 雅浦岛东北95W - 11.7N 139.7E - 或将北上影响关岛 - JMA:LPA

红豆棒冰冰

JMA 18Z维持LPA

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY.

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 21Z分析升至T1.5

TPPN10 PGTW 092101
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W (N OF YAP)
B. 09/2030Z
C. 11.12N
D. 137.30E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T1.5/1.5  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .3 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 1.5. MET YIELDS 1.0. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   09/1627Z  11.45N  137.78E  AMS2
   THOMPSON

红豆棒冰冰

GFS 18Z继续支持稍有发展，巅峰约996百帕

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 00Z分析维持T1.5

TPPN10 PGTW 100017
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W (N OF YAP)
B. 09/2330Z
C. 11.20N
D. 136.80E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T1.5/1.5  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES LOCATED
UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 1.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS
1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   THOMPSON

红豆棒冰冰

SSD 00Z分析升至T2.0

TXPQ29 KNES 100019
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95W)
B.  09/2330Z
C.  11.7N
D.  137.3E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.0/2.0
G.  IR/EIR/VIS/WSFM
H.  REMARKS...5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. 2111Z WSFM PASS SHOWED
NASCENT BANDING NE-E-SE QUADS. MET=1.5 AND PT=2.0. FT BASED ON PT DUE
IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION AND BANDING NOT CLR-CUT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    09/2111Z 11.5N 136.8E WSFM
...KONON