迪戈加西亚东南强热带气旋第6号“杜扎伊”(14S.Dudzai) - MFR:110KT JTWC:125KT

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 15Z分析维持T3.5

TPXS11 PGTW 201505
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 20/1430Z
C. 25.31S
D. 56.82E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .70 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 3.0 AND PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BALMER

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 18Z分析降至T3.0/3.5

TPXS11 PGTW 201841
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 20/1730Z
C. 26.00S
D. 56.43E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T3.0/3.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38/PBO SBC. CNVCTN WRAPS .65 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING
A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   CANTU

Ragasa

WTIO30 FMEE 201842
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 43/6/20252026
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (DUDZAI)

2.A POSITION 2026/01/20 AT 1800 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2 S / 56.8 E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 14 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 4.0/4.0/W 0.5/6 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 60 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 260 SE: 280 SW: 110 NW: 100
34 KT NE: 185 SE: 195 SW: 75 NW: 75
48 KT NE: 95 SE: 95 SW: 0 NW: 0

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/01/21 06 UTC: 29.8 S / 57.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 345 SE: 315 SW: 150 NW: 215
34 KT NE: 205 SE: 205 SW: 75 NW: 110
48 KT NE: 95 SE: 75 SW: 55 NW: 45

24H: 2026/01/21 18 UTC: 35.6 S / 62.6 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, POST-TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 405 SE: 360 SW: 165 NW: 295
34 KT NE: 240 SE: 230 SW: 0 NW: 155
48 KT NE: 100 SE: 85 SW: 0 NW: 10

36H: 2026/01/22 06 UTC: 43.8 S / 71.0 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 640 SE: 280 SW: 500 NW: 445
34 KT NE: 405 SE: 175 SW: 0 NW: 0

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL

2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=4.0+ CI=4.0+

OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS TEMPORARILY INCREASED.
THE CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS IN A CURVED BAND. THE F16 IMAGE FROM 1600
SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUING TO WRAP AROUND THE CENTRE, GIVING
THE SYSTEM A SYMMETRICAL APPEARANCE. THE 1709Z ASCAT PASS ESTIMATES
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 60 KT IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. DUDZAI
REMAINS CLASSIFIED AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF
60 KT.

NO CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK: DUDZAI CONTINUES ITS SOUTH TRACK ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL MID-TROPOSPHERE RIDGE. ON THIS TRACK,
DUDZAI IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST OF REUNION ISLAND.
TOMORROW MORNING IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TURNING SOUTH-EAST UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TALWEG APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND
THE RETREAT OF THE RIDGE TOWARDS THE EAST. ALL MODELS CONFIRM THIS
RSMC FORECAST WITH VERY LOW DISPERSION.

REGARDING INTENSITY, WITH THE RETURN OF NORTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR, THE
SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. STARTING
TOMORROW, AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF 30S LATITUDE OVER COOLER WATERS, THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT
COULD BE CLASSIFIED AS POST-TROPICAL ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN
EXTRA-TROPICAL AS IT IS EXPECTED TO MERGER WITH A COLD FRONT AND A
MID-LATITUDE DEPRESSION.

NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT IS EXPECTED ON INHABITED LAND OVER THE NEXT 72
HOURS.

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 21Z分析维持T3.0/3.5

TPXS11 PGTW 202139
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 20/2030Z
C. 26.58S
D. 56.83E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T3.0/3.5/D0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED 15NM IN SHEARED
DENSE OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 2.5. PT YIELDS 3.0.
BDO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   CANTU

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WTIO30 FMEE 210239
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 44/6/20252026
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (DUDZAI)

2.A POSITION 2026/01/21 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8 S / 57.1 E
(TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 16 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 3.5/4.0/W 0.5/6 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 55 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 195 SE: 220 SW: 150 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 140 SE: 150 SW: 65 NW: 55
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 65 SW: 0 NW: 0

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/01/21 12 UTC: 32.2 S / 59.9 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, POST-TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 285 SE: 285 SW: 155 NW: 240
34 KT NE: 165 SE: 175 SW: 75 NW: 120
48 KT NE: 65 SE: 55 SW: 35 NW: 55

24H: 2026/01/22 00 UTC: 39.4 S / 66.8 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, POST-TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 500 SE: 345 SW: 140 NW: 435
34 KT NE: 305 SE: 220 SW: 110 NW: 230

36H: 2026/01/22 12 UTC: 46.1 S / 75.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 555 SE: 315 SW: 390 NW: 520
34 KT NE: 335 SE: 130 SW: 185 NW: 250

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL

2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=3.5+ CI=4.0

OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED, BUT THE
CLOUD STRUCTURE HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANISED. CONVECTIVE
BURSTS HAVE OCCURRED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL VORTEX, BUT HAVE NOT
PERSISTED. THE IMAGE FROM THE 2137TU GCOM SWATH STILL SHOWS A
LOW-LEVEL RING, ALTHOUGH ASYMMETRICAL, WHICH JUSTIFIES MAINTAINING
THE STAGE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 55KT. A
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON THE MET AND THE SLIGHT DECREASE
IN OBJECTIVE ANALYSES (DMINT AND DPRINT) COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS
ANALYSIS TIME ALLOWED US TO DECIDE ON THIS SLIGHT WEAKENING IN
INTENSITY.

NO CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK : DUDZAI CONTINUES ITS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
TRACK ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL MID-TROPOSPHERE RIDGE. THIS
MORNING, IT SHOULD BEGIN TO CURVE SOUTH-EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND THE PULL BACK OF
THE RIDGE TOWARDS THE EAST. ALL MODELS CONFIRM THIS RSMC FORECAST
WITH VERY LITTLE DISPERSION.

REGARDING INTENSITY, IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT PASSES SOUTH OF 30S, OVER
COOLER WATERS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY LOSE ITS TROPICAL
FEATURES. IT MAY BE CLASSIFIED AS POST-TROPICAL IN THE AFTERNOON AND
THEN EXTRA-TROPICAL AS IT IS EXPECTED TO MERGING WITH A COLD FRONT AND
A MID-LATITUDE LOW.

NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT IS EXPECTED ON INHABITED LAND OVER THE NEXT 72
HOURS.

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WTXS31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI) WARNING NR 022   
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210000Z --- NEAR 27.6S 57.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.6S 57.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z --- 32.0S 60.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 28.7S 58.0E.
21JAN26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. AS DEPICTED IN ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR), TC 14S HAS RAPIDLY DETERIORATED OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS AFTER ROUNDING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AXIS.
THERE IS NO LONGER A DISCRETE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OR
EYE EVIDENT IN THE EIR AND THERE HAS BEEN A LACK OF RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY TO TAKE A LOOK UNDER THE HOOD AT THE LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE. AN
EARLIER ASCAT PASS AT 201711Z HOWEVER, DID PROVIDE CONFIRMATION THAT
THE LLCC REMAINS INTACT AND SYMMETRICAL, THOUGH IT IS STARTING TO
WEAKEN. TC 14S HAS CROSSED THE 26C ISOTHERM AND IS MOVING INTO MUCH
COOLER WATERS, WHILE SHEAR AND DRY AIR ARE INCREASING. THE SYSTEM IS
ALREADY IN THE EARLY PHASES OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND IS
IT ACCELERATES SOUTHEASTWARD, WILL RAPIDLY COMPLETE ETT WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOONWRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 989
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EWETSE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 00Z分析降至T2.5/3.0

TPXS11 PGTW 210030
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 20/2330Z
C. 26.92S
D. 57.05E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.5/3.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .4 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   CANTU

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全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：徐润杰、刘涛  签发：周冠博  2026 年 01 月 21 日 10 时
“杜扎伊”向偏南方向移动

时  间: 21日08时（北京时,下同）

海  域: 西南印度洋

命  名: “杜扎伊”，DUDZAI

中心位置: 南纬27.6度，东经57.3度

强度等级: 强热带风暴

最大风力: 10级，25米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级

中心气压: 986百帕

参考位置: 距离法属留尼旺南偏东方向约760公里

变化过程: 过去24小时，“杜扎伊”强度维持

预报结论: “杜扎伊”将以每小时10公里的速度向东南方向移动，强度维持。



图1  卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2026年1月21日08时00分）

“埃韦策”于昨天夜间在莫桑比克海峡生成

时  间: 21日08时（北京时）

海  域: 西南印度洋

命  名: “埃韦策”，EWETSE

中心位置: 南纬24.5度，东经43.0度

强度等级: 热带风暴

最大风力: 8级，18米/秒，相当于我国的热带风暴级

中心气压: 995百帕

参考位置: 距离马达加斯加陶拉纳鲁偏西方向约410公里

变化过程: “埃韦策”于昨天夜间在莫桑比克海峡生成

预报结论: “埃韦策”将以每小时7公里的速度向偏东方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。



图2 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2026年1月21日08时00分）

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 03Z分析维持T2.5/3.0

TPXS11 PGTW 210321
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 21/0230Z
C. 28.54S
D. 54.22E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .40 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN

TPXS11 PGTW 210450 COR
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI)
B. 21/0231Z
C. 28.54S
D. 57.22E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .40 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT. THIS
IS A CORRECTION FOR LONGITUDE.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN

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WTIO30 FMEE 210704
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 45/6/20252026
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (DUDZAI)

2.A POSITION 2026/01/21 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.6 S / 57.9 E
(TWENTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 20 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 3.5/3.5/W 0.5/24 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 60 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 35 KM

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 260 SE: 240 SW: 85 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 155 SE: 140 SW: 55 NW: 75
48 KT NE: 95 SE: 85 SW: 0 NW: 0

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/01/21 18 UTC: 35.4 S / 62.8 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, POST-TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 405 SE: 315 SW: 140 NW: 280
34 KT NE: 240 SE: 195 SW: 0 NW: 155
48 KT NE: 120 SE: 85 SW: 0 NW: 0

24H: 2026/01/22 06 UTC: 43.2 S / 71.1 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, EXTRATROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 555 SE: 285 SW: 0 NW: 405
34 KT NE: 335 SE: 185 SW: 0 NW: 220
48 KT NE: 130 SE: 75 SW: 0 NW: 0

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL

2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=3.5+

OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS PERSISTED NEAR THE
CENTRE AND ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER THE EFFECT OF
SOUTHERLY SHEAR, WITH A CONVECTIVE MASS THAT REMAINS VERY COMPACT. A
SAR RCM2 PASS AT 0137Z MEASURED 1-MIN WINDS OF 70KT, WHICH CAN BE
CONVERTED INTO 10-MIN WINDS OF 60KT. THE ASCAT PASSES AT 0424Z AND 0502Z
CONFIRM THIS INTENSITY. THE VORTEX REMAINS RELATIVELY WELL-FORMED, BUT
THE WIND STRUCTURE IS ASYMMETRICAL WITH STORM-FORCE WINDS ONLY
LOCATED IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE PAST INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM HAS
BEEN CORRECTED TO 60KT AT 00UTC AND IS MAINTAINED AT 60KT BASED ON THESE
VARIOUS OBJECTIVE DATA. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSIS UNDERESTIMATES THE
ACTUAL INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM, PROBABLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM'S SMALL SIZE
AND A LACK OF CONVECTION OVER WATERS THAT ARE BEGINNING TO COOL.

DUDZAI CONTINUES ITS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TRACK ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
SUBTROPICAL MID-LEVEL RIDGE. IT SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN SOUTH-EAST
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST. SPREAD BETWEEN MODELS REMAINS VERY LOW.

THE SYSTEM'S FORECAST INTENSITY HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY REVISED UPWARDS IN
LINE WITH THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND NWP OUTPUT AVAILABLE. THE VORTEX
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NOT MUCH DISRUPTED BY SHEAR UNTIL THIS
AFTERNOON, THEN, DESPITE INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR TONIGHT, THE
SYSTEM'S WINDS COULD REMAIN QUITE HIGH DUE TO BAROCLINIC PROCESSES. AS
IT MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY LOSE ITS TROPICAL FEATURES THIS EVENING. IT COULD THUS BE
CLASSIFIED AS POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT AND THEN EXTRATROPICAL ON
THURSDAY MORNING AS IT IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT AND A
MID-LATITUDE LOW.

NO IMPACT IS EXPECTED ON INHABITED LAND OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS.