中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms is located a couple
of hundred miles offshore of Central America.  An area of low
pressure is forecast to develop from this system within the next day
or two.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by
the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward
off the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico. Locally
heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Costa Rica and
Nicaragua through the early part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located about 500 miles east-southeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
couple of days before it moves into a region of strong upper-level
winds. This system is expected to move northeastward over the
central Atlantic during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms is located a couple
of hundred miles offshore of Central America.  An area of low
pressure is forecast to develop from this system within the next day
or two.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by
the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward
off the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.  Locally
heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Costa Rica and
Nicaragua through the early part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Satellite data indicate that a weak low pressure system has formed
about 450 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. The associated showers
and thunderstorms remain disorganized, but some slow development is
possible during the next day or so while the low moves northeastward
over the central Atlantic. By Monday night, however, the system is
expected to move over cool waters and into a region of strong
upper-level winds, ending its opportunity for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen

红豆棒冰冰

pocketbox 发表于 2025-6-23 01:15
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此系统已编号90L

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 12Z系集继续对东太有明显反应，可能有多个热带系统发展

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located a
couple of hundred miles offshore of Central America where an area of
low pressure is forecast to develop over the next day or two.
Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the middle to latter part of the week while the system moves
west-northwestward off the coasts of Central America and southern
Mexico. Locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of Costa
Rica, Nicaragua, spreading into El Salvador and Guatemala through
the early part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Papin

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms remains
located a couple of hundred miles offshore of Central America where
an area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the next day or
two. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle to latter part of the week while the
system moves west-northwestward off the coasts of Central America
and southern Mexico. Locally heavy rainfall is possible across
portions of Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, and
Guatemala through the early part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Papin

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 00Z系集继续对东太有明显反应，可能有多个热带系统发展

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located a
few hundred miles offshore of Central America.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week or
over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward
off the coast of southern Mexico. Locally heavy rainfall is possible
across portions of Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, and
Guatemala through the early part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Hagen