小笠原群岛以东2502号热带风暴“圣帕”(02W.Sepat) - 北上趋向日本关东近海

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 18Z分析维持T1.5/1.5

TPPN10 PGTW 251812
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (SEPAT)
B. 25/1730Z
C. 34.45N
D. 140.34E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 1.5. MET
YIELDS 2.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   TIMMERMAN

红豆棒冰冰

JMA今天凌晨予想天气图预报+24h消散/并入锋面

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 12Z系集

红豆棒冰冰

JMA 18Z维持TD

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 34N 140E NNE 10 KT.

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 21Z分析维持T1.5/1.5

TPPN10 PGTW 252102
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (SEPAT)
B. 25/2030Z
C. 34.47N
D. 141.18E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 1.5. MET
YIELDS 2.5. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   TIMMERMAN

红豆棒冰冰

GFS 18Z预报未来将逐渐东北移动

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 00Z分析维持T1.5/1.5

TPPN10 PGTW 260002
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (SEPAT)
B. 25/2330Z
C. 35.45N
D. 141.19E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
WITH OVERCAST LESS THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELD A DT OF 1.5. MET YIELDS
1.5. PT YIELDS 1.5. DBO DT INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE
REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   TIMMERMAN

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 18Z系集

红豆棒冰冰

JMA 00Z维持TD

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 36N 141E NNE 10 KT.

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 03Z分析XT2.0/2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 260307
A. EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE 02W (SEPAT)
B. 26/0230Z
C. 36.52N
D. 142.03E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. XT2.0/2.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. POORLY ORGANIZED LLCC
WITH NO CONVECTION AND FORWARD SPEED OF 25 KTS WRAPS 0.20 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING XT(2.0).
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN