雅浦岛以北2603号热带风暴“鹦鹉”(03W.Nuri) - 东北行进，将影响马里亚纳群岛

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ECMWF 00Z系集

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JTWC 09Z分析升至T2.5

TPPN10 PGTW 110850
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI)
B. 11/0830Z
C. 10.71N
D. 137.83E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. LLCC LOCATED UNDER COLD OVERCAST
GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT YIELD 2.0.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BRYANT

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稍早前HY-2B风场扫描图像可见风速有明显减弱

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GFS 06Z预报将逐渐东北行进，强度没有明显发展

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JMA 12Z分析DT2.5 MET2 PT2 FT2 CI2.5

meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        4
featureDirectionOfMotion:        103 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        3.09 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        4
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        2
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        3
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2.5
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2.5
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        1
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        0.5
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        2
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
finalTNumberType:        2

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JTWC 12Z分析降至T2.0/2.5

TPPN10 PGTW 111201
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI)
B. 11/1130Z
C. 10.85N
D. 138.21E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.5/D0.5/27HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. BOTH MET AND PT ALSO
YIELD 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN

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SSD 12Z分析升回T2.5/2.5

TXPQ29 KNES 111210
TCSWNP
A.  03W (NURI)
B.  11/1130Z
C.  10.7N
D.  137.6E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.5/2.5
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H.  REMARKS...CENTER LESS THAN 0.5 DEG FROM A LARGE COLD OVERCAST RESULTS
IN A DT OF 3.0. THE MET EQUALS 3.0 BASED ON A SLOWLY DEVELOPING 24-HOUR
TREND AND THE PT IS 2.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO PULSING
CONVECTION.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...LINER

jiakK_kaa

03W NURI 260311 1200 11.0N 138.1E WPAC 30 1000
12z30维持，此前分析T2.0

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ECMWF 06Z系集

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今天晚间ASCAT风场扫描