危地马拉以南95E - 9.3N 91.0W - NHC:40%

红豆棒冰冰

SSD 12Z分析TOO WEAK

TXPZ28 KNES 251323
TCSENP
CCA
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B.  25/1200Z
C.  9.0N
D.  92.2W
E.  FIVE/GOES-E
F.  TOO WEAK
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY/VIS
H.  REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON REANALYSIS
OF IMAGERY. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A SECOND CIRCULATION SW OF
THE PREVIOUS CENTER POSITION. SPIRAL LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND
CONVECTION WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER RESULT IN A DT OF LESS THAN
1.0. PT IS ALSO LESS THAN 1.0. MET IS 1.0. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN
ISSUED UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...TURK

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala remain
disorganized.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is likely to form by late this weekend
while the system moves slowly west-northwestward, off the coast of
southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema/Blake

红豆棒冰冰

昨天晚间ASCAT风场扫描

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala have
changed little in organization during the past day or so.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression or
tropical storm is likely to form by late this weekend while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward, off the coast of southern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Hagen