帕劳以东92W - 7.5N 135.5E - 西行趋向棉兰老岛 - JMA:LPA

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As of 2:00 PM today, 04 May 2026, a Low Pressure area (LPA 05a) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is "UNLIKELY" to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
Meanwhile, another Low Pressure area (LPA 05b) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It has a "MEDIUM" potential to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA.

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GFS 06Z继续预报将逐渐西行靠近棉兰老岛，不支持明显发展

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ECMWF 06Z系集

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As of 8:00 PM today, 04 May 2026, a Low Pressure area (LPA 05a) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is "UNLIKELY" to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
Meanwhile, another Low Pressure area (LPA 05b) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It has a "MEDIUM" potential to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA.

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昨天晚间ASCAT风场扫描

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GFS 12Z继续预报将逐渐西行靠近棉兰老岛，不支持明显发展

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SSD 18Z分析T1.0

TXPQ24 KNES 041830
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92W)
B.  04/1730Z
C.  8.5N
D.  137.1E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T1.0/1.0
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY
H.  REMARKS...GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.0. MET AND
PT=1.0. FT BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...KONON

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ECMWF 12Z系集

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As of 2:00 AM today, 05 May 2026, a Low Pressure area (LPA 05a) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is "UNLIKELY" to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
Meanwhile, another Low Pressure area (LPA 05b) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and now has a "HIGH" chance of developing into a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA.

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JMA今天凌晨予想天气图预报+24h LPA，+48h维持LPA