马里亚纳群岛2604号超强台风“森拉克”(04W.Sinlaku) - 风眼快速打开清空，或重创塞班岛 - CMA:70m/s JMA:115KT JTWC:160KT

9916-Bart

CMA08时路径进一步向北微调，差不多就是62m/s核爆塞班

1. ZCZC
   
2. WTPQ20 BABJ 120000
   
3. SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
   
4. SuperTY SINLAKU 2604 (2604) INITIAL TIME 120000 UTC
   
5. 00HR 9.7N 151.2E 930HPA 55M/S
   
6. 30KTS WINDS 400KM NORTHEAST
   
7. 380KM SOUTHEAST
   
8. 380KM SOUTHWEST
   
9. 400KM NORTHWEST
   
10. 50KTS WINDS 110KM NORTHEAST
    
11. 110KM SOUTHEAST
    
12. 110KM SOUTHWEST
    
13. 110KM NORTHWEST
    
14. 64KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST
    
15. 60KM SOUTHEAST
    
16. 60KM SOUTHWEST
    
17. 60KM NORTHWEST
    
18. MOVE NW 17KM/H
    
19. P+12HR 10.9N 149.9E 920HPA 60M/S
    
20. P+24HR 12.1N 148.6E 910HPA 65M/S
    
21. P+36HR 13.2N 147.2E 910HPA 65M/S
    
22. P+48HR 14.3N 146.1E 915HPA 62M/S
    
23. P+60HR 15.2N 145.3E 915HPA 62M/S
    
24. P+72HR 16.2N 144.9E 920HPA 60M/S
    
25. P+96HR 18.3N 144.8E 935HPA 52M/S
    
26. P+120HR 21.0N 146.2E 955HPA 42M/S=
    
27. NNNN

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9916-Bart

0210zBAND14眼温到达-0.618，即将转正

9916-Bart

0220z（当地正午）BAND14眼温即将WMG，CDG连，黄金色阶连

9916-Bart

0225z BAND14 WMG

红豆棒冰冰

今天早晨ASCAT风场扫描

红豆棒冰冰

HKO 00Z天气图显示已升格超强台风

红豆棒冰冰

眼温持续上升中

莎莎

森拉克增強速度還算滿快的...今天一早就已經是這個模樣了





這個是一個對日本無害觀賞颱風.

關島要小心...

9916-Bart

CMA03z分析升至7.5

1. ZCZC
   
2. TCPQ40 BABJ 120300
   
3. CCAA 12030 99398 11165
   
4. SINLAKU 04101 11510 11544 275// 93407
   
5. NNNN

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红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 03Z分析升至T6.5

TPPN10 PGTW 120309
A. TYPHOON 04W (SINLAKU)
B. 12/0230Z
C. 10.02N
D. 150.89E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T6.5/6.5/D2.0/24HRS  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. EYE EMBEDDED 55NM IN CDO YIELDS AN
E# OF 5.5. ADDED 0.5 FOR A WELL-DEFINED EYE AND ADDED 0.5 FOR BF TO
YIELD A DT OF 6.5. MET YIELDS 5.5. PT YIELDS 6.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN