中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred
miles west-northwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

1. Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive for some slow development of this system over the next
couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph across the
central Pacific basin.  By Saturday, conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the coast
of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development of this system during the
next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at
around 15 mph across the central to western part of the eastern
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



3. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system late this weekend and
into early next week, and a tropical depression could form by
midweek as the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Gibbs

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernand, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
by this weekend to the south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear favorable for some slow development
of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to
20 mph, moving across the eastern into central Tropical Atlantic
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Papin

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Thu Aug 28 2025

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin
several hundred miles west-northwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

1. Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This system is expected to move westward into
unfavorable environmental conditions, and development is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi

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2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for some gradual development of this system thereafter,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

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2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for some gradual development of this system thereafter,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

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2. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low
pressure could form from this system this weekend or early next
week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of
next week while moving generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Hagen

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2. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low
pressure could form from this system early next week, and it is
likely to become a tropical depression by the middle of next week
while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

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2. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low pressure
is expected to form from this system early next week, and it is
likely to become a tropical depression by the middle of next week
while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off of the west coast of
Africa on Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support
some slow development of this system while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Bucci