中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Sep 15 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Mario, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
off the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form by the middle to latter part of this week as it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central east Pacific.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Mario are issued under WMO
header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Mario are issued under WMO
header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Jelsema

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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Sep 15 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Mario, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
off the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the middle to latter part of this week as it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central east
Pacific.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Hagen

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues to show signs of
organization with a broad area of low pressure located about midway
between the Windward Islands and the coast of west Africa.
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression or storm is likely to form in the next day or
two as the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to
15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave emerging off the west coast of Africa is producing
an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible towards the mid to latter
part of this week as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph, moving from
the eastern to central portion of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Papin

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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 15 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Mario, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the
coast of southern Mexico continues to produce a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter
part of this week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
over the central east Pacific.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Papin

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure system located
about midway between the Windward Islands and the Cabo Verde Islands
is gradually becoming better defined.  In addition, the associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little more
concentrated during the past several hours.  If these trends
continue, advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression
later today.  The system is expected to move generally northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic
during the next several days.  Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive, and any development of this system should be slow to
occur while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and
central portion of the tropical Atlantic.  Regardless of
development, this system will likely bring areas of heavy rain
across the Cabo Verde Islands later today and Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gabrielle, located in the central Tropical Atlantic.

1. East-Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands continues
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive, and any development of
this system should be slow to occur while it moves westward at 15
to 20 mph across the eastern and central portion of the tropical
Atlantic.  Regardless of development, this system will continue to
bring areas of heavy rain across the Cabo Verde Islands through
Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of west Africa by
Friday morning.  Some slow development of this system is possible as
it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic
this weekend into early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle are issued under
WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Hagen

理可的呆萌呆毛

層層叠這一塊

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gabrielle, located in the central Tropical Atlantic.

1. East-Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands
continues to produce disorganized shower activity.  Development of
this system is not expected while it moves westward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
Friday morning.  Some slow development of this system is possible
over the weekend through the middle of next week while it moves
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle are issued under
WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle are issued under
WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Cangialosi