菲律宾以东2525号强热带风暴“海鸥”(31W.Kalmaegi) - 数值支持发展

eoj329

FNV3情況~

Enceladus

TPPN10 PGTW 011520

A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 01/1430Z
C. 10.33N
D. 136.88E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.5/2.5 STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .50 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

觀雲趣

捲

fy6

TXPQ21 KNES 020000
TCSWNP
A. 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 01/2330Z
C. 10.6N
D. 135.0E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T3.0/3.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...9/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS
-88 C. MET=2.5 AND PT=3.0. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION
AND BANDING NOT CLR-CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
01/1925Z 10.6N 135.7E SSMIS
...KONON=

fy6

TPPN10 PGTW 012338
A. TROPICAL STORM 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 01/2330Z
C. 10.71N
D. 135.13E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .7 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS A 1.5. PT YIELDS A 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
BRYANT

pocketbox

WTPH20 RPMM 020000
SECURITE

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING NR. 01
ISSUED AT 0000UTC, 02 NOVEMBER 2025 BY DOST-PAGASA, PHILIPPINES
TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI (2525) 994HPA
AT 0000UTC, PSTN 10.9N 134.8E MOV W 15KT
MXWD 45KT NEAR CTR
34KT 50NM NW

12-HOUR FCST VLD AT 021200UTC
PSTN 11.2N 132.3E, PRES 985HPA, MWXD 55KT
24-HOUR FCST VLD AT 030000UTC
PSTN 10.9N 129.7E, PRES 975HPA, MWXD 65KT
36-HOUR FCST VLD AT 031200UTC
PSTN 10.7N 127.1E, PRES 960HPA, MWXD 75KT
48-HOUR FCST VLD AT 040000UTC
PSTN 10.8N 124.4E, PRES 950HPA, MWXD 80KT
60-HOUR FCST VLD AT 041200UTC
PSTN 11.1N 121.9E, PRES 970HPA, MWXD 70KT
72-HOUR FCST VLD AT 050000UTC
PSTN 11.6N 119.5E, PRES 970HPA, MWXD 70KT
96-HOUR FCST VLD AT 060000UTC
PSTN 12.9N 114.4E, PRES 950HPA, MWXD 80KT
120-HOUR FCST VLD AT 070000UTC
PSTN 14.6N 109.1E, PRES 945HPA, MWXD 85KT

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NM OF 10.9N 134.8E, SEND 3-HOURLY WX REPORTS.
NEXT WARNING 020600UTC
WEATHER MANILA=

Enceladus

fy6

TXPQ21 KNES 020657
TCSWNP
A. 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 02/0530Z
C. 11.3N
D. 133.3E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...10/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET IS 3.5
BASED ON A RAPID DEVELOPMENT TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS
ALSO 3.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE THE BANDING FEATURES WERE
NOT CLEAR CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
02/0456Z 11.3N 133.5E AMSR2
...BERTALAN=

fy6

TXPQ21 KNES 020706
TCSWNP
CCA
A. 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 02/0530Z
C. 11.3N
D. 133.3E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR REMARKS. THIS CLASSIFICATION WAS DERIVED USING
4 KM DATA. 10/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET IS 3.5 BASED ON
A RAPID DEVELOPMENT TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 3.5. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE MET BECAUSE THE BANDING FEATURES WERE NOT CLEAR CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
02/0456Z 11.3N 133.5E AMSR2
...BERTALAN=

fy6

TPPN10 PGTW 020854
A. TROPICAL STORM 31W (KALMAEGI)
B. 02/0830Z
C. 11.64N
D. 132.56E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 0.90 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
02/0456Z 11.32N 133.48E AMS2
RUCKER