中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat May 24 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Thereafter,
conditions appear favorable for additional development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form around the middle part of next
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Papin

fy6

WTNT80 EGRR 250359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.05.2025

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 33.9N  75.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
00UTC 27.05.2025  33.3N  73.3W     WEAK
12UTC 27.05.2025  33.0N  68.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.05.2025  32.8N  62.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.05.2025        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 10.3N 116.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
12UTC 30.05.2025  10.3N 116.7W     WEAK
00UTC 31.05.2025  10.5N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 31.05.2025  10.7N 118.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 01.06.2025  11.0N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT [email protected]

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 250359

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 00Z系集继续对东太有明显反应

fy6

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun May 25 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms is located several
hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions
appear favorable for additional development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 06Z系集继续对东太有明显反应

红豆棒冰冰

GFS 12Z预报上述系统将在3天内成旋，巅峰约971百帕

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun May 25 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south of the
coast of southern Mexico remain disorganized. Conditions appear
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form in a few days while the system moves generally
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Hagen

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 12Z系集继续对东太有明显反应

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun May 25 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue along a broad trough
of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southern Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for additional
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form in a few days while it moves generally west-northwestward at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Papin

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 18Z系集继续对东太有明显反应