小笠原群岛以东2502号热带风暴“圣帕”(02W.Sepat) - 北上趋向日本关东近海

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JTWC 06Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 220602
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W (N OF GUAM)
B. 22/0530Z
C. 22.80N
D. 146.07E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/21HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 0.50 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   22/0325Z  22.82N  146.43E  ATMS
   LINDGREN

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HWRF 00Z预报北上靠近本州岛东南部，强度稍有发展，巅峰约997百帕

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SSD 06Z分析升至T1.5

TXPQ24 KNES 220614
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95W)
B.  22/0530Z
C.  22.7N
D.  146.3E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T1.5/1.5
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...3/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS 1.0 BASED ON
THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT TREND IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 1.5. THE
FT IS BASED ON THE PT SINCE THE BANDING FEATURE WAS NOT CLEAR CUT AND
A PATTERN ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...COVERDALE

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JMA 06Z发布GW，预报登陆前减弱为TD

WTPQ50 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN  220600UTC 22.6N 145.8E FAIR
MOVE  NW SLOWLY
PRES  1008HPA
MXWD  030KT
GUST  045KT
FORECAST
24HF  230600UTC 26.1N 142.6E 70NM 70%
MOVE  NW 12KT
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
48HF  240600UTC 30.8N 139.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE  NNW 13KT
PRES  1002HPA
MXWD  035KT
GUST  050KT
72HF  250600UTC 35.0N 140.0E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Enceladus

GOOG-FNV3 2200Z Ensemble-mean(INVEST 95W)
▸ Maximun Expected Intensity: 31KT
▸ Plotted by: Enceladus

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ECMWF 00Z系集

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NRL最新报文显示06Z风速调升至25kt，或将升格

95W INVEST 250621 0000 21.4N 146.1E WPAC 15 1009
95W INVEST 250621 0600 21.5N 146.6E WPAC 15 1008
95W INVEST 250621 1200 21.6N 146.4E WPAC 15 1008
95W INVEST 250621 1800 21.8N 146.3E WPAC 20 1008
95W INVEST 250622 0000 22.2N 146.2E WPAC 20 1008
95W INVEST 250622 0600 22.8N 146.1E WPAC 25 1007

红豆棒冰冰

JTWC 09Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 220859
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W (N OF GUAM)
B. 22/0830Z
C. 23.05N
D. 146.17E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 0.40 ON
LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. BOTH MET AND PT YIELD 2.0. DBO
PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   22/0325Z  22.82N  146.43E  ATMS
   22/0543Z  22.82N  146.22E  SSMS
   LINDGREN

Enceladus

GFS 2206Z Main-run(INVEST 95W)
▸ Range: +96Hrs
▸ Step: 24Hrs
▸ Maximun Expected Intensity: 35KT
▸ Plotted by: Enceladus

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GFS 06Z预报北上登陆本州岛，巅峰约1003百帕