小笠原群岛以东2502号热带风暴“圣帕”(02W.Sepat) - 北上趋向日本关东近海

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JTWC 12Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 221153
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W (N OF GUAM)
B. 22/1130Z
C. 23.10N
D. 146.01E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED
CLOUD LINES LOCATED NEAR COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND
PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   22/0808Z  22.87N  146.12E  MMWI
   MUSE

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JMA 12Z分析DT0.5 MET0.5 PT1 FT1 CI1，命名机会不大

meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        4
featureDirectionOfMotion:        0 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        3.6 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        2
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        1
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        9
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        0.5
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        2
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        0.5
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        1
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        3
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1
finalTNumberType:        2

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HWRF 06Z预报北上登陆本州岛东南部，强度稍有发展，巅峰约999百帕

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NRL最新报文显示12Z风速升至30kt，有望升格

95W INVEST 250621 1800 21.8N 146.3E WPAC 20 1008
95W INVEST 250622 0000 22.2N 146.3E WPAC 20 1008
95W INVEST 250622 0600 22.8N 146.2E WPAC 25 1007
95W INVEST 250622 1200 23.2N 146.0E WPAC 30 1006

Enceladus

升格02W

02W TWO 250622 1200 23.2N 145.9E WPAC 30 1006

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SSD 12Z分析维持T1.5

TXPQ24 KNES 221228
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95W)
B.  22/1130Z
C.  23.3N
D.  146.5E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T1.5/1.5
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...3.5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.5. THE MET EQUALS 1.0
AND THE PT EQUALS 1.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO THE IRREGULAR
BANDING PATTERN.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...LINER

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ECMWF 06Z系集

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稍早前MetOp-C风场扫描显示中心东北侧有成片30-35kt风旗

Enceladus

ASCAT C UHR 11Z

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JTWC 15Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 221448
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (N OF GUAM)
B. 22/1430Z
C. 23.22N
D. 145.61E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES LOCATED UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT
AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   22/0858Z  22.60N  146.37E  SSMS
   MUSE