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[值得关注] 莫桑比克海峡中等热带风暴第10号“盖扎尼”(21S.Gezani) - 西行近岸爆发穿越马达加斯加中部,进入莫峡再度增强,尔后或在莫峡南部回旋 - MAX MFR:100KT JTWC:110KT

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发表于 2026-2-6 08:31 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 00Z分析维持T2.0/2.0
TPXS12 PGTW 060016
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)
B. 05/2330Z
C. 15.28S
D. 60.26E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .30 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   TIMMERMAN
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-2-6 12:01 | 显示全部楼层

JTWC:REMAINS HIGH

ABIO10 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
REISSUED/060300Z-061800ZFEB2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZFEB2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050721ZFEB2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06FEB26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (TWENTY) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17.8S 121.9E, APPROXIMATELY 18 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF BROOME,
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
14.6S 61.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 60.3E, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 050448Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS REVEALED A GRADUALLY
CONSOLIDATING, FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ELEVATED
SURFACE WINDS LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO FLARING ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES THROUGHOUT THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 C, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, OFFSET
BY 20-25 KTS OF SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN A GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY
INTENSIFICATION, ALTHOUGH ENSEMBLES SHOW SLIGHT DISAGREEMENT ON THE
TRACK AFTER 72 HOURS. THE GFS ENSEMBLE CHARACTERIZES A WESTWARD TURN
TOWARDS MADAGASCAR INTO TAU 72 WHILE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE ILLUSTRATES A
STEADY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD INTO TAU 72, WITH A WESTWARD TRACK
THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 050730) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.4S 126.7E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE
PARA. 2.A.1 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.C.(1) TO WARNING
STATUS.//
NNNN

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-2-6 12:02 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 03Z分析维持T2.0
TPXS12 PGTW 060326
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)
B. 06/0230Z
C. 15.31S
D. 59.70E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 3.0. PT
YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   THOMPSON
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-2-6 14:57 | 显示全部楼层
TPXS12 PGTW 060622

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)

B. 06/0530Z

C. 16.00S

D. 60.12E

E. FIVE/MET9

F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC LOCATED WITHIN 75NM
OF COLD OVERCAST GREATER THAN 90NM ACROSS YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. MET
YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   THOMPSON
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。

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发表于 2026-2-6 15:30 | 显示全部楼层
WTXS21 PGTW 060730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90S) REISSUED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050721ZFEB2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.9S 60.2E TO 19.3S 59.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 23 TO 28 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 060600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 16.1S 60.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
15.3S 60.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 60.1E, APPROXIMATELY 289 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALED A GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 C, GOOD
WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY 15-20 KTS OF
SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
MODELS ARE IN A GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY INTENSIFICATION WITH THE GFS
DETERMINISTIC BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SOLUTION IN THE SHORT TERM ON
DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE SHOWING TROPICAL STORM CHARACTERISTICS WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. REGARDING ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE, THE GFS ENSEMBLE IS THE MOST
CONFIDENT AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD WITH AN EXTREMELY TIGHT GROUPING OF
MEMBERS UNTIL TAU 60. AFTER TAU 60, THE MEMBERS DEPICT A MORE WESTWARD
TRACK TOWARDS MADAGASCAR WITH CONFIDENCE DECREASING AND DIVERGING
MEMBERS AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE REMAINS IN A FAIRLY
TIGHT GROUPING THROUGH THE ENTIRE LIFESPAN AS IT TRANSITS SOUTHWESTWARD
UNTIL TAU 72, THEREAFTER, THE MEMBERS DEPICT A WESTWARD TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES
REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 050730).
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
070730Z.//
NNNN



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发表于 2026-2-6 16:05 | 显示全部楼层
WTIO30 FMEE 060759
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 6/10/20252026
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10

2.A POSITION 2026/02/06 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0 S / 60.1 E
(SIXTEEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY    DECIMAL ONE   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/S 0.0/6 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1005 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 75 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1009 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/02/06 18 UTC: 17.7 S / 59.3 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE

24H: 2026/02/07 06 UTC: 18.2 S / 58.5 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE

36H: 2026/02/07 18 UTC: 18.3 S / 58.0 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE

48H: 2026/02/08 06 UTC: 18.1 S / 57.2 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 185 SE: 175 SW: 140 NW: 140

60H: 2026/02/08 18 UTC: 17.6 S / 56.2 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 195 SE: 215 SW: 165 NW: 165
34 KT NE: 120 SE: 130 SW: 100 NW: 95

72H: 2026/02/09 06 UTC: 17.4 S / 54.9 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 215 SE: 240 SW: 195 NW: 165
34 KT NE: 140 SE: 140 SW: 110 NW: 100

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2026/02/10 06 UTC: 17.3 S / 51.6 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SW: 205 NW: 185
34 KT NE: 140 SE: 150 SW: 120 NW: 110
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 75 SW: 65 NW: 65

120H: 2026/02/11 06 UTC: 17.8 S / 47.2 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 260 SE: 305 SW: 165 NW: 120
34 KT NE: 155 SE: 150 SW: 0 NW: 75

2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5-

OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH, WITH
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND AN EXPOSED
CENTER, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR (ANALYZED AT 20KT BY CIMSS). THE INTENSITY OF THE
SYSTEM IS THEREFORE MAINTAINED AT 30KT.

REGARDING THE TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, DRIVEN BY
HIGH GEOPOTENTIALS IN THE LOW LEVELS EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND BY THE
REMAINS OF STORM FYTIA SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES. FROM SATURDAY
ONWARDS, THE STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND THEN BE
GRADUALLY DRIVEN BY THE NEW SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ARRIVING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THERE IS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY IN THE EARLY STAGES WITH
A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD. INDEED, THE TRACK IS VERY DEPENDENT ON THE
INTENSITY FORECAST. THE AMERICAN MODELS (GFS, HWRF, HAFS), WHICH ARE
MUCH MORE INTENSE, SUGGEST A NORTHERNER TRACK INITIALLY. THE CURRENT
RSMC FORECAST FAVORS THE LATEST IFS AND AROME MODELS, WHICH SIMULATE
A WEAKER SYSTEM.

IN TERMS OF INTENSITY, THE SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DELAY THE SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION. SEVERAL MODELS, NOTABLY IFS AND
AROME, SUGGEST THAT THE SYSTEM COULD REMAIN PARTICULARLY DISORGANIZED
IN THE SHORT TERM. EVEN IF THE SHEAR DECREASES FROM TOMORROW,
SATURDAY, THE SURFACE CONVERGENCE IS VERY WEAK ON THE POLAR SIDE ON
SATURDAY AND THEN ON THE EQUATORIAL SIDE ON SUNDAY, LIMITING THE
POTENTIAL FOR CYCLOGENESIS. DESPITE THIS, CONDITIONS COULD BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT
THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM STAGE WILL FINALLY BE REACHED.

IMPACTS ON INHABITED AREAS OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS:
SAINT BRANDON:
- HEAVY SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY.=

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发表于 2026-2-6 18:57 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 09Z分析维持T2.0
TPXS12 PGTW 060911
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)
B. 06/0830Z
C. 16.31S
D. 59.76E
E. THREE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES
LOCATED WITHIN 75NM OF COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS
2.0. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   THOMPSON
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。

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超强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2026-2-6 20:35 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 pocketbox 于 2026-2-6 21:20 编辑




WTIO30 FMEE 061304
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 7/10/20252026
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10

2.A POSITION 2026/02/06 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7 S / 59.6 E
(SIXTEEN    DECIMAL SEVEN   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY NINE    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/S 0.0/6 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1005 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 75 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1009 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/02/07 00 UTC: 18.0 S / 59.1 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE

24H: 2026/02/07 12 UTC: 18.6 S / 58.0 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE

36H: 2026/02/08 00 UTC: 18.6 S / 57.4 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 175 SE: 175 SW: 150 NW: 150

48H: 2026/02/08 12 UTC: 18.1 S / 56.6 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 195 SE: 220 SW: 195 NW: 155

60H: 2026/02/09 00 UTC: 17.7 S / 55.4 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 205 SE: 270 SW: 215 NW: 175
34 KT NE: 130 SE: 150 SW: 140 NW: 100

72H: 2026/02/09 12 UTC: 17.5 S / 54.0 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 220 SE: 270 SW: 230 NW: 205
34 KT NE: 140 SE: 150 SW: 140 NW: 120

2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2026/02/10 12 UTC: 17.5 S / 50.5 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 250 SE: 270 SW: 165 NW: 110
34 KT NE: 155 SE: 150 SW: 120 NW: 75
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 55 SW: 35 NW: 0

120H: 2026/02/11 12 UTC: 17.8 S / 46.6 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, OVERLAND
DEPRESSION

2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.5

OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS TEMPORARILY INCREASED
IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. HOWEVER, THE CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED,
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR
(ASSESSED AT 20KT BY CIMSS). PENDING NEW SCATTEROMETRIC DATA, THE
SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 30KT.

REGARDING ITS TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, DRIVEN BY
HIGH GEOPOTENTIALS IN THE LOWER LEVELS EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND BY THE
REMAINS OF STORM FYTIA SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES. STARTING TONIGHT, THE
DIRECTING FLOW SHOULD WEAKEN AND THEN BE GRADUALLY DRIVEN BY THE NEW
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ARRIVING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
HIGH IN THE EARLY PERIOD, DESPITE A DECREASING SPREAD. THE CURRENT
RSMC FORECAST IS A CONSENSUS OF THE LATEST RUNS OF THE MAIN MODELS
(IFS, GFS, AROME, AND AIFS) AND THEIR ENSEMBLES.

IN TERMS OF INTENSITY, THE SOUTH-EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTH-WESTERLY
SHEAR TOMORROW, SATURDAY, IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DELAY THE
SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION. SURFACE CONVERGENCE IS ALSO VERY WEAK ON
THE POLAR SIDE ON SATURDAY AND THEN ON THE EQUATORIAL SIDE ON SUNDAY,
HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE BY THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WITH A DECREASE IN SHEAR AND FAVORABLE OCEANIC
POTENTIAL.

IMPACTS ON INHABITED AREAS OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS:
SAINT BRANDON:
- HEAVY SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY.
MAURITIUS /
- HEAVY SHOWERS POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY NIGHT.

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P
发表于 2026-2-6 21:09 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 12Z分析维持T2.0
TPXS12 PGTW 061226
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)
B. 06/1130Z
C. 16.72S
D. 59.53E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 49A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES LOCATED UNDER COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 2.5
AND PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BALMER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-2-6 23:20 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 15Z分析维持T2.0
TPXS12 PGTW 061513
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90S (NE OF MAURITIUS)
B. 06/1430Z
C. 17.02S
D. 59.65E
E. FIVE/MET9
F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES LOCATED NEAR COLD OVERCAST YIELD A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 2.5
AND PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   06/1146Z  16.72S  59.62E  GPMI
   BALMER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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