波纳佩岛以北94W→95W - 7.8N 157.8E - JMA:LPA

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GFS 12Z继续预报未来将逐渐西行，但短期内没有明显发展

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SSD 18Z分析T1.5

TXPQ25 KNES 071856
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B.  07/1730Z
C.  7.8N
D.  157.8E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T1.5/1.5
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY/GMI
H.  REMARKS...FORMER INVEST 94W. 3.5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF
2.0. 1543Z GMI PASS SHOWED DEFINED CENTER AND BANDING TAKING SHAPE E
QUAD. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -92 C. MET=1.0 AND PT=1.5. FT
BASED ON CONSTRAINTS LIMITING FT TO 1.5 FOR FIRST CLASSIFICATION. SYSTEM
MAY BE A BIT STRONGER THAN FT INDICATES.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    07/1543Z 7.7N 158.0E GMI
...KONON

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ECMWF 12Z系集

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JMA今天凌晨予想天气图继续预报+24h、+48h均维持LPA

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JMA 18Z维持LPA

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 159E WEST SLOWLY.

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编扰资讯

95W INVEST 260508 0000 7.8N 157.8E WPAC 15 0

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GFS 18Z继续预报未来将逐渐西行，但短期内没有明显发展

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SSD 00Z分析升至T2.0

TXPQ25 KNES 080007
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95W)
B.  07/2330Z
C.  7.9N
D.  158.0E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.0/2.0
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...4/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. LLCC APPEARS TO BE
ON W SIDE OF CDO BUT SHEAR PATTERN NOT EVIDENT. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS
AS COLD AS -89 C. MET=1.5 AND PT=2.0. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO PULSING
CONVECTION AND BANDING NOT CLR-CUT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...KONON

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ECMWF 18Z系集