中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri May 30 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle part of next week
offshore of the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of
this system thereafter while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat May 31 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
...

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form by the middle part of next
week offshore of the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward at
around 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat May 31 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Alvin, located a little more than 100 miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form by the middle part of next
week offshore of the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward at
around 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Hagen

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat May 31 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Kelly

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat May 31 2025

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late
next week while it moves generally westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Kelly

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2025 is as follows:

Name         Pronunciation       Name         Pronunciation
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Andrea        AN-dree uh         Lorenzo       loh-REN-zoh
Barry         BAIR-ree           Melissa       meh-LIH-suh
Chantal       shahn-TAHL         Nestor        NES-tor
Dexter        DEHK-ster          Olga          OAL-guh
Erin          AIR-rin            Pablo                 PAHB-lo
Fernand       fair-NAHN          Rebekah       reh-BEH-kuh
Gabrielle     ga-bree-ELL        Sebastien     se-BAS-tee-en
Humberto      oom-BAIR-toh       Tanya         TAHN-yuh
Imelda        ee-MEHL-dah        Van           van
Jerry         JEHR-ee            Wendy         WEN-dee
Karen         KAIR-ren

A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and
pronunciations can be found at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days.  The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT.  After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM,   
7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.

NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the
threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land
areas within 72 hours.  For these land-threatening "potential
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and
watch/warning products.  Potential tropical cyclones share the
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three",
etc.).

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches
or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by
radar.  It can also be used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of
a special advisory package.  Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be
issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC,
and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov.  More information on NHC text and
graphical products can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf.  
New and updated products for the 2025 season can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_New_Products_Updates_2025.pdf.

You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.  Notifications are available via
X when select National Hurricane Center products are issued.  
Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is
available at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia/.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNNN

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally
conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster D. Zelinsky

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2025-6-1 23:23
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NHC正式在热带天气展望图中加上中太部分

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late
portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to
move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Kelly