关岛东南热带低压05W - 逐渐西行，数值支持发展 - JMA:GW

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GFS 12Z又有所调弱，巅峰约996百帕

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JMA 18Z分析DT2 MET1.5 PT1.5 FT1.5 CI1.5，命名机会仍然不大

meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        4
featureDirectionOfMotion:        263 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        5.14 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        4
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        1
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        3
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        1
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        1
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        2
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
finalTNumberType:        2

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JTWC 18Z分析维持T2.0，SSD分析升至T2.5

TPPN10 PGTW 051813
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W (SE OF GUAM)
B. 05/1730Z
C. 8.53N
D. 148.32E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/18HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO . CNVCTN WRAPS .30 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A
DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN

TXPQ23 KNES 051857
TCSWNP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (93W)
B.  05/1730Z
C.  8.2N
D.  148.8E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.5/2.5
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY/GMI
H.  REMARKS...5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. TIMELY 1706Z GMI PASS
SHOWED GOOD BANDING PRESENT N AND E QUADS. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS AS COLD
AS -83 C. MET AND PT=2.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    05/1706Z 8.2N 148.8E GMI
...KONON

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NRL显示已升格05W

05W FIVE 260505 1800 8.4N 148.3E WPAC 30 1003

理可的呆萌呆毛

久違的靠豬豬搶貼（

理可的呆萌呆毛

突然多了一些懂華南風迷的成員（

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ECMWF 12Z系集

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As of 2:00 AM today, 06 May 2026, the Low Pressure Area (LPA 05a) is being monitored inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is "UNLIKELY" to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
Meanwhile, the Tropical Depression (formerly LPA 05b) is being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA.

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HKO 18Z天气图上已经标注TD

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JTWC 21Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 052107
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (SE OF GUAM)
B. 05/2030Z
C. 8.12N
D. 148.12E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. 2.0/2.0/D0.5/21HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .30 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET YIELDS 1.5. PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN