中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2025年）

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near the
southeastern U.S. coast along a frontal boundary during the next
couple of days.  Environmental conditions appear only marginally
conducive for the low to gradually develop some subtropical or
tropical characteristics later this week if it forms or moves
offshore the coast.  The low is forecast to move east of North
Carolina over the Atlantic by late Friday or Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


Forecaster Chenard

fy6

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Showers and thunderstorms located over the Florida peninsula, the
northwestern Bahamas, and the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf waters
are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A non-tropical
low pressure area is forecast to form from this system near or
offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of
days.  If the low remains offshore, it could gradually develop some
subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week while
moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Hagen

pocketbox

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Showers and thunderstorms located over the Florida peninsula,
southeastern Georgia, the northwestern Bahamas, and the adjacent
Atlantic and Gulf waters are associated with a broad trough of low
pressure. A non-tropical low pressure area is forecast to form from
this system near the southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple
of days. If the low spends time offshore, it could gradually develop
some subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week while
moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph. Regardless of development,
periods of heavy rainfall are possible for coastal portions of the
Carolinas through Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

pocketbox

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and
a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated
with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves generally
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

pocketbox

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Near the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Showers and thunderstorms located over the Florida peninsula,
the southeastern U.S. coast, the northwestern Bahamas, and the
adjacent Atlantic and Gulf waters are associated with a broad trough
of low pressure.  A non-tropical low pressure area is forecast to
form from this system on Thursday, but it is becoming increasingly
likely that this development will occur inland over South Carolina
and North Carolina.  As a result, the low's chances of acquiring
subtropical or tropical characteristics have diminished.  Regardless
of development, heavy rainfall could cause some flash flooding
along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast today and on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Berg

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Satellite surface wind data indicate than a broad area of low
pressure has formed a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico and is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jun 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles offshore
of the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear to be conducive
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Hagen