关岛东南热带低压05W - 逐渐西行，数值支持发展 - JMA:GW

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GFS 18Z有所调强，巅峰约990百帕

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JMA 00Z分析DT1.5 MET1.5 PT1.5 FT1.5 CI1.5，命名机会仍然不大

meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        6
featureDirectionOfMotion:        284 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        3.09 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        4
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        1
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        3
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        1
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        0.5
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        2
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
finalTNumberType:        2

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JTWC 00Z分析维持T2.0

TPPN10 PGTW 060015
A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (SE OF GUAM)
B. 05/2330Z
C. 7.58N
D. 147.25E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 0.30 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. BOTH MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LINDGREN

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SSD 00Z分析维持T2.5

TXPQ23 KNES 060020
TCSWNP
A.  05W (NONAME)
B.  05/2330Z
C.  8.2N
D.  148.5E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F.  T2.5/2.5
G.  IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS
H.  REMARKS...5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. 2018Z SSMIS PASS
SHOWED GOOD BANDING N AND E OF CENTER. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS
-87 C. MET AND PT=2.5. FT BASED ON MET DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    05/2018Z 8.2N 148.6E SSMIS
...KONON

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今天凌晨HY-2B及HY-2C风场扫描显示中心东北侧风力较强

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ECMWF 18Z系集

無能物理學家

JTWC升格TS

05W FIVE 260506 0000 7.3N 146.8E WPAC 35 1003