危地马拉以南95E - 9.3N 91.0W - NHC:40%

ygsj24

EP, 95, 2025062406,   , BEST,   0,  90N,  897W,  30, 1009, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  200, 120,   0,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 007, SPAWNINVEST, ep772025 to ep952025,

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1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles offshore of
Central America continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late this week or over the weekend while the system moves
slowly west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

红豆棒冰冰

今天上午ASCAT风场扫描

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles offshore of
Central America continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema

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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the
coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system later this week, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
slowly west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema/Hagen

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昨天晚间至今天凌晨ASCAT风场扫描

ygsj24

938
ABPZ20 KNHC 242340
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs of
organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system over the
next few days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
to form by this weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

ygsj24

846
ABPZ20 KNHC 250520
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 24 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized
in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south of the coast of Guatemala.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system over the
next few days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is
likely to form by this weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward, just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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今天上午ASCAT风场扫描

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SSD 06Z分析T1.0

TXPZ28 KNES 250615
TCSENP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B.  25/0600Z
C.  7.9N
D.  91.7W
E.  FIVE/GOES-E
F.  T1.0/1.0
G.  IR/EIR/PRXY/MHS
H.  REMARKS...GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.0. XPSD LLCC
SE OF MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA. SMALL SYSTEM. MET AND PT=1.0. FT BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    25/0309Z 8.0N 91.9W MHS
...KONON

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 25 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala have
changed little overnight.  Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and
a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form by
late this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward,
off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema/Blake