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楼主: 红豆棒冰冰

南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2023年7月-2024年6月)

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 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-6 18:34 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea next week.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End mid to late next week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during the later part of the week and weekend.
  • The risk of the tropical low becoming a tropical cyclone increases from Saturday.
Last updated
2 hours ago, 08:19 am UTC




Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Mon 8 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 8 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
100%
High
95%
High
90%
High
70%
High
55%
High
40%
Moderate
25%
Moderate
10%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-7 12:05 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea next week.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End late next week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during next weekend.
  • The risk of the tropical low becoming a tropical cyclone increases on Sunday.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 12:01 am UTC


Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
100%
High
90%
High
80%
High
60%
High
25%
Moderate
10%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-7 17:56 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea next week.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End late next week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during next weekend.
  • The risk of the tropical low becoming a tropical cyclone increases on Sunday.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:24 am UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 9 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
100%
High
100%
High
80%
High
60%
High
35%
Moderate
10%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-8 12:34 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End later in the week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during this weekend.
  • The risk of the tropical low becoming a tropical cyclone increases on Sunday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 11:39 pm UTC
Tropical Low 13U
A tropical low may develop in the far northern Coral Sea.
  • A small tropical low, 13U, may form along a trough in the far northern Coral Sea, near Louisiade Archipelago, Papua New Guinea.
  • If 13U forms it may move initially to the south, and interact with a trough system to the south in the middle of the week.
  • 13U may quickly weaken as it interacts with the trough, however there is a very slight chance 13U isn't weakened and develops to a tropical cyclone. Movement becomes highly uncertain in this scenario, but a track towards the Far North Queensland Coast cannot be completely ruled out.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 12:56 am UTC






Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 am
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
85%
High
60%
High
35%
Moderate
10%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 13U
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-8 19:35 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End late in the week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during this weekend.
  • The risk of the tropical low becoming a tropical cyclone increases next week on Monday.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 08:41 am UTC
Tropical Low 13U
A tropical low may develop in the far northern Coral Sea.
  • A small tropical low, 13U, may form along a trough in the far northern Coral Sea, near Louisiade Archipelago, Papua New Guinea.
  • If 13U forms it may move initially to the south, and interact with a trough system to the south in the middle of the week.
  • 13U may quickly weaken as it interacts with the trough, however there is a very slight chance 13U isn't weakened and develops to a tropical cyclone. Movement becomes highly uncertain in this scenario, but a track towards the Far North Queensland Coast cannot be completely ruled out.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 09:02 am UTC







Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 10 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 pm
Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
85%
High
60%
High
15%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 13U
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-9 12:50 | 显示全部楼层
红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-4-8 19:35
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea.

13U已获JTWC编号97P
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-9 13:23 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low forecast to form in the Arafura Sea.
  • A tropical low, 12U may develop in the Arafura Sea, near the Top End late in the week.
  • 12U is likely to remain slow moving and develop only slowly during the weekend.
  • There is a Low risk of 12U becoming a tropical cyclone from Tuesday next week.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 12:15 am UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 11 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 am
Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
30%
Moderate
10%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 13U
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-10 13:06 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low may form in the Arafura Sea this weekend.
  • A weak tropical low, 12U, may form in the Arafura Sea this weekend.
  • 12U is likely to move westwards, and develop only slowly, if at all.
  • There is only a Low chance of 12U becoming a tropical cyclone from Sunday onwards.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 12:17 am UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 13U
5%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-10 18:51 | 显示全部楼层
红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-4-10 13:06
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low may form in the Arafura Sea this weekend.

ECMWF系集持续对12U有所反应


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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-10 19:13 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 12U
A weak tropical low may form in the Arafura Sea this weekend.
  • A weak tropical low, 12U, may form in the Arafura Sea this weekend.
  • 12U is likely to move westwards, and develop only slowly, if at all.
  • There is only a Low chance of 12U becoming a tropical cyclone from Sunday onwards.
Last updated
2 hours ago, 09:04 am UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 12 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 13 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 14 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 15 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 pm
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga 11U
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 12U
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 13U
Less than 5%
Very Low
10%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None

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×
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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