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楼主: 红豆棒冰冰

南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2023年7月-2024年6月)

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 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-14 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the northeast Coral Sea mid to late week.
  • 14U is likely to form over the far northeast Coral Sea mid to late week
  • There is a Low chance that 14U may strengthen on the weekend.
  • The movement of 14U is expected to be generally slow moving or towards the south or southeast, away from the Queensland coast.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 11:22 pm UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Tropical Low 12U
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-14 17:26 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the northeast Coral Sea mid to late week.
  • 14U is likely to form over the far northeast Coral Sea mid to late week
  • There is a Low chance that 14U may strengthen on the weekend.
  • The movement of 14U is expected to be generally slow moving or towards the south or southeast, away from the Queensland coast.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:06 am UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 16 Apr
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 pm
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
10%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-15 11:03 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the northeast Coral Sea mid to late week.
  • 14U is likely to form over the far northeast Coral Sea mid to late week
  • There is a Low chance that 14U may strengthen on the weekend.
  • In the longer term, the movement of 14U is expected to be generally towards the south or southeast, away from the Queensland coast.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 11:32 pm UTC



Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 am
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-15 14:46 | 显示全部楼层
GFS 00Z临近调出卡湾系统,稍后看看BOM是否会编号


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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-15 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the northeast Coral Sea mid to late week.
  • 14U is likely to form over the far northeast Coral Sea mid to late week.
  • There is a Low chance that 14U may develop into a tropical cyclone on Sunday or Monday next week.
  • The movement of 14U is expected to be generally slow moving during the weekend and then towards the south or southeast, away from the Queensland coast.
Last updated
2 hours ago, 07:33 am UTC
Tropical Low 15U
A tropical low is forecast to form off the Top End late in the week.
  • A tropical low (15U) may develop in the Arafura or Timor Sea, north of Top End late in the week.
  • Once formed, 15U is expected to develop slowly and most likely remain as a weak system until Sunday, when conditions may begin to improve for it to develop.
  • The risk of 15U becoming a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low (10%) on Monday next week.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:13 am UTC







Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 am
Wed 17 Apr
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 pm
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 15U
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-15 17:27 | 显示全部楼层
红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-4-15 17:16
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the northeast Coral Sea mid to  ...

BOM新编的15U应该就是GFS此前临近调出的卡湾系统
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-15 20:24 | 显示全部楼层
红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-4-15 14:46
GFS 00Z临近调出卡湾系统,稍后看看BOM是否会编号

GFS 06Z继续报出此系统


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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-16 12:08 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the far northeastern Coral Sea late this week or over the weekend.
  • A tropical low 14U may form over the far northeastern Coral Sea or further east later this week.
  • There is a Low chance that 14U may develop into a tropical cyclone over the weekend or early next week.
  • The movement of 14U is expected to be to the southwest in the early stages but then track south and then southeast and remain well away from the Australian mainland. No impacts to coastal communities are expected.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 12:59 am UTC
Tropical Low 15U
A tropical low is forecast to form between Australia and PNG later this week.
  • A tropical low (15U) may develop between Australia and PNG later this week.
  • 15U may develop further on the weekend as a small system most likely in the Arafura Sea or possibly even near Cape York Peninsula.
  • The movement is most likely to the southwest towards the Northern Territory but a track that moves southeast, east of Cape York also remains a possibility at this stage.
  • The risk of 15U becoming a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low (10-15%) from later Friday into early next week.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 12:48 am UTC






Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 23 Apr
12:00 am
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Tropical Low 15U
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
10%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
15%
Low
10%
Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-16 16:43 | 显示全部楼层
GFS 00Z报继续对15U有所反应,但强度有所调弱

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
 楼主| 发表于 2024-4-16 19:13 | 显示全部楼层
Forecast description
Tropical Low 14U
Tropical Low 14U could form in the far northeastern Coral Sea late this week or over the weekend.
  • A tropical low 14U may form over the far northeastern Coral Sea or further east later this week.
  • There is only a Low chance (just 5%) that 14U may develop into a tropical cyclone over the weekend or early next week.
  • The movement of 14U is expected to be to the southwest in the early stages but then track south and then southeast and remain well away from the Australian mainland.
  • No direct impacts to coastal communities are expected.
Last updated
2 hours ago, 08:56 am UTC
Tropical Low 15U
A tropical low may form between Australia and PNG later this week.
  • A tropical low (15U) may develop between Australia and PNG later this week.
  • Small chance that 15U may develop further on the weekend as a small system most likely in the Arafura Sea or adjacent waters.
  • The movement is most likely to the west southwest closer to the Northern Territory coast but a track that moves southeast, east of Cape York also remains a possibility at this stage.
  • The risk of 15U becoming a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low (10-15%) from early Saturday into early next week.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 08:34 am UTC








Tropical lows
Today
12:00 pm
Tomorrow
12:00 am
Tomorrow
12:00 pm
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 am
Thu 18 Apr
12:00 pm
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 am
Fri 19 Apr
12:00 pm
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 am
Sat 20 Apr
12:00 pm
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 am
Sun 21 Apr
12:00 pm
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 am
Mon 22 Apr
12:00 pm
Tue 23 Apr
12:00 am
Tue 23 Apr
12:00 pm
Tropical Low 14U
None
None
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
5%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
None
None
Tropical Low 15U
None
None
None
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
15%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
10%
Low
Less than 5%
Very Low
Less than 5%
Very Low

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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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